Will the new global mpox vaccine stockpile approve its first country allocation in September?

Question

This market resolves YES if WHO, Gavi or the International Coordinating Group publicly confirms approval of a vaccine allocation to a named country from the permanent global mpox stockpile during September 2026. The stockpile's launch announcement alone does not count. Approval is sufficient; physical delivery may occur later. An allocation through the former temporary mechanism is excluded.

A qualifying action must be public, attributable to the named authority and operational rather than mere

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 69%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 31%.