Will the RBA cash rate reach 4.60% before 2027?

Question

This market resolves YES if the Reserve Bank of Australia officially sets its cash rate target at 4.60% or higher at any time before January 1, 2027.

The cash rate target is 4.35% at market opening.

A rate of exactly 4.60% qualifies. Any rate above 4.60% also qualifies.

If the RBA cash rate target remains below 4.60% through its final monetary-policy decision of 2026, the market resolves NO.

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 54%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 46%.