Will UK inflation reach 4% in the November 18 October CPI report?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Office for National Statistics first reports an all-items UK Consumer Prices Index annual inflation rate of at least 4.0% for October 2026 in its scheduled November 18 release.

Use the headline CPI percentage change over twelve months, comparing October 2026 with October 2025. Exactly 4.0% qualifies. A published value of 3.9% or lower resolves NO. The annual CPIH measure, which includes owner occupiers' housing costs, is a different series and must not be sub

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 72%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 28%.