Will Princess Diana’s Revenge Dress sell for more than $1 million at Sotheby’s on December 9?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Sotheby’s reports a realised sale price strictly above US$1,000,000 for the original Christina Stambolian “Revenge Dress” worn by Diana, Princess of Wales, in the New York auction scheduled for December 9, 2026. Exactly US$1,000,000 resolves NO. Use the auction house’s published price including the buyer’s premium; do not compare the hammer price alone against this threshold. Taxes, delivery costs, separate charitable donations and other purchases by the buyer are

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 61%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 39%.