Will California approve Proposition 39’s voter-ID requirement on November 3?

Question

This market will resolve YES if California’s Secretary of State certifies voter approval of Proposition 39 at the statewide general election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The identified measure is the constitutional initiative imposing additional voter-identification requirements, listed as Proposition 39 in the official voter information guide. The question is whether voters approve that measure, not whether its requirements are subsequently implemented or upheld in court.

Use the final cert

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 76%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 24%.