Will YES win Iceland’s EU accession-talks referendum on August 29, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if… the final official nationwide result of Iceland’s August 29, 2026 referendum records more valid YES votes than valid NO votes on the question of whether Iceland should resume accession negotiations with the European Union.

Only the official vote totals certified or published as final by Iceland’s National Electoral Commission will determine resolution. Exit polls, partial counts, media projections, campaign declarations and unofficial municipal results will not

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 51%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 49%.