Will a federal court block the FCC's early review of Disney-owned ABC licenses before September 15, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if, before September 15, 2026, a U.S. federal court enters a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, permanent injunction, stay or materially equivalent judicial order that prevents or suspends the FCC from continuing its compelled early-license-renewal review concerning one or more of Disney's eight owned ABC television stations.

The qualifying judicial order must have operative legal effect before the deadline.

A hearing being scheduled, a judge expressi

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 58%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 42%.