Will a human New World screwworm case be reported in the U.S. before October 1, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if at least one human case of New World screwworm infestation is officially reported in the United States between the opening of this market and September 30, 2026, inclusive.

The case must involve a human patient and be confirmed or reported by CDC, another U.S. federal public-health authority, or a competent state health authority.

Travel-associated cases diagnosed and officially reported in the United States will count. Animal cases involving livestock, pets or wild

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 79%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 21%.