Will the IMO adopt its global shipping-emissions framework at the resumed December session?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the IMO formally adopts MARPOL Annex VI amendments establishing the IMO Net-Zero Framework during its resumed second extraordinary MEPC session, provisionally scheduled for December 4, 2026. The adopted instrument must contain both a binding greenhouse-gas fuel-intensity standard and an economic compliance mechanism requiring payments for at least some excess emissions. Changes to rates, thresholds, implementation years or distribution of proceeds are allowed; a v

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 60%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 40%.