Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal before January 1, 2027?

Question

This market resolves YES if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of at least 60 transit calls per day for the Strait of Hormuz for any date on or before December 31, 2026.

Only the “Arrivals of Ships” or equivalent transit-call series specifically published for the Strait of Hormuz by IMF PortWatch will determine the result. Alternative estimates from Reuters, Kpler, MarineTraffic, VesselFinder, government statements or military authorities may be used for context but will not indepen

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 52%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 48%.