Will France's Competition Authority clear at least one of the three SFR asset transactions before December 1, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if France's Autorité de la concurrence formally issues a clearance decision, either unconditional or subject to commitments/remedies, for at least one of the three contractually linked transactions involving the acquisition of Altice France/SFR assets by Iliad, Bouygues Telecom or Orange before December 1, 2026.

A referral from the European Commission, pre-notification discussions, formal notification of a transaction, opening of an investigation, market testing, propos

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 69%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 31%.