Will the Scottish independence referendum bill pass its November 27 Commons second reading?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the House of Commons formally agrees to the second reading of the Scotland (Independence Referendum) Bill, bill 47 of the 2026–27 session, at its sitting scheduled for November 27, 2026. This is the specific bill sponsored by Graham Leadbitter that would transfer legislative power over a Scottish independence referendum to the Scottish Parliament. The question is about parliamentary passage of this stage, not about Scotland becoming independent or a referendum alr

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 87%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 13%.