Will the November 12 birthright-citizenship hearing lead to a classwide block on Trump’s new order?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia grants classwide preliminary relief on the pending injunction motion in Nathan v. Trump, case 1:26-cv-03377, heard on November 12, 2026, that bars enforcement of at least one of sections 2(a), 2(b) or 2(c) of Executive Order 14418 against a certified nationwide class. The order concerns President Trump’s August 6, 2026 directive, not Executive Order 14160 or the already-decided Barbara litigation.

An injunction

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 66%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 34%.