Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the March 14 Oscars?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Tom Cruise wins the Academy Award for Actor in a Leading Role at the 99 th Academy Awards. An honorary Academy Award previously given to Cruise has no bearing on this new competitive leading-actor award. The award ceremony is scheduled for 14 March 2027; being nominated, shortlisted or winning a precursor prize is insufficient.

Only the competitive category named here qualifies. A supporting-performance award, honorary Oscar, technical achievement award, film-lev

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 83%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 17%.