Will an individual person win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize on October 9?

Question

This market will resolve YES if at least one natural person is officially announced as a recipient of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

For the purposes of this market, an "individual" means a natural human person explicitly named by the Norwegian Nobel Committee as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate.

If the prize is awarded exclusively to one or more organizations, institutions, movements, committees, NGOs, international bodies or other non-person entities, this mark

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 56%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 44%.