Will the Bank of England raise Bank Rate at its December 17, 2026 meeting?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England announces on December 17, 2026 at 12:00 UK time a Bank Rate strictly higher than the level in force immediately before that announcement.

Bank Rate has stood at 3.75% since the meeting ending on July 29, 2026, when the Committee voted by a majority of six to three to maintain it, with the three dissenters preferring an immediate increase to 4%.

An increase of any size counts, whether 25 basis points or more. T

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 76%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 24%.