Will another UAE LNG cargo be transferred ship-to-ship outside the Strait of Hormuz by September 30, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Reuters, ADNOC or a recognised shipping-data provider reports at least one additional ship-to-ship transfer of UAE-origin liquefied natural gas outside the Strait of Hormuz between September 4 and September 30, 2026.

The transfer must involve LNG originating from a UAE export facility or an ADNOC-controlled LNG cargo. Crude oil, LPG or refined products do not qualify.

The transfer reported by Reuters on September 2 does not count.

The market resolves NO if no a

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 43%.