Will Giacometti’s Herbert Lust bronze sell above $30 million at Christie’s November sale?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Christie’s official result for Alberto Giacometti’s Figure, demie grandeur (no. 2), the 1949 bronze numbered 1/5 from Herbert Lust’s collection, exceeds US$30,000,000 in its announced November 2026 New York auction offering.

Use the published realised price including buyer’s premium, excluding sales taxes, shipping and any separate resale. The exact cast matters: another cast of the same work cannot replace it. The auction estimate is not a sale result. Exactly $

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 58%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 42%.