Will a US supercomputer reclaim first place in November’s TOP500 ranking?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the computer assigned rank 1 in the official November 2026 TOP500 list is installed in the United States according to that list's Country field. This tests the location of the leading computer, not the nationality of its manufacturer, chip designer, owner or funding agency. A US-built computer installed in China does not count; a foreign-built computer officially located in the United States does.

Use the standard TOP500 ranking based on measured HPL Rmax. Do not

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 63%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 37%.