Will Javier Milei win Argentina’s October 2027 presidential election?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Javier Milei is officially declared the winning presidential candidate in Argentina’s next regular presidential election, whose first round falls on October 24, 2027 under the current statutory calendar. A valid victory in either the first round or the legally required second round qualifies. Leading the first round without ultimately winning does not qualify. This is a candidate-specific contract, not a market on his party, governing coalition, vice-presidential

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 56%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 44%.