Will France’s October 24 protests surpass 550,000 participants in the official count?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the French Interior Ministry's national count for the October 24,2026 ActeII demonstrations is strictly greater than 550,000 participants. Exactly 550,000 resolves NO. The reference is the ministry's estimate, not the unions' estimate, an average of competing estimates, or an independently inferred crowd size. The threshold matches the official count reported for the preceding October 17 mobilisation, but only participation on October 24 determines this outcome.

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 63%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 37%.