Will Willie Nelson’s The Last Leaf enter the NYT Hardcover Nonfiction top five on November 29?

Question

This market will resolve YES if The Last Leaf by Willie Nelson holds a published rank from 1 through 5 inclusive on The New York Times Hardcover Nonfiction best-seller list dated November 29, 2026. The named list date is the edition printed on the chart, not the day a reader opens the website or the book's release date. It is a contractual observation edition; no announcement by the publisher about a future chart rank is being claimed.

Penguin Press confirms a November 10 release for the hardco

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 43%.