Will Jeff Bezos’s Blue Moon Mark 1 land upright on its first lunar mission?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Blue Origin’s first Blue Moon Mark 1 lunar mission makes a controlled touchdown on the Moon and remains upright on its intended landing gear, with a confirmed communication from the surface after touchdown. NASA currently lists the mission for January 2027. The question is whether this first mission succeeds at landing, not whether launch occurs on a particular January day.

The landing may occur away from the announced Shackleton Connecting Ridge target and still

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 54%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 46%.