Will AARO release a new UAP video that remains officially unresolved through December 4?

Question

This market resolves YES if, after August 25 and on or before November 27, 2026, AARO publicly releases a previously unavailable video associated with a reported UAP case and, as of December 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, AARO has not officially identified the phenomenon depicted in that video as a specific conventional object, known aircraft, drone, balloon, bird, astronomical body, atmospheric phenomenon, sensor artefact or other explained cause.

The video must be an official U.S. government release

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 58%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 42%.