Will Democrats win at least 218 U.S. House seats in the 2026 midterms?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Democratic Party candidates are officially certified as the winners of at least 218 of the 435 voting seats contested in the November 3, 2026 United States House elections.

Candidates elected under the Democratic Party label count toward the total. The five non-voting territorial delegates and the District of Columbia’s non-voting delegate do not count.

A candidate who caucuses with Democrats but is elected as an independent does not count unless the official ba

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 38%.