Will the U.S. Treasury increase 30-year bond auction sizes at the November 2026 Quarterly Refunding?

Question

This market resolves YES if, during the U.S. Treasury's November 2026 Quarterly Refunding announcement, the Treasury officially increases the announced auction size of the 30-year Treasury Bond compared with the auction size announced in the immediately preceding Quarterly Refunding.

Only the official auction size published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury will determine the outcome.

Temporary cash-management bills, buybacks, reopening announcements, changes to issuance frequency, maturi

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 76%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 24%.