Will the United States and Iran reach a nuclear agreement before March 1, 2027?

Question

This market resolves YES if the governments of the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran formally reach, sign, adopt or publicly confirm a bilateral or multilateral agreement specifically addressing Iran's nuclear program before March 1, 2027.

A qualifying agreement must contain substantive commitments relating to Iran's nuclear activities and reciprocal commitments by the United States, such as sanctions relief, sanctions suspension, waivers, economic measures or other negotiated conc

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 63%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 37%.