Will another Houthi attack damage a Saudi oil facility during the rest of September?

Question

This market resolves YES if a distinct Houthi missile, drone or other kinetic attack occurring after 18:00 CEST on September 8 and by September 30, 2026 causes physical damage at an oil production, processing, storage, pipeline or export facility located in Saudi Arabia. The attack must be attributed to the Houthis by Saudi authorities or acknowledged by the Houthi movement with physical damage independently confirmed by the Saudi government or facility operator. An intercepted projectile, debri

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 58%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 42%.