Will Gérard Depardieu retain a sexual-assault conviction after his November 16–20 appeal trial?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Paris Court of Appeal's first judgment on the merits following Gérard Depardieu's appeal trial scheduled for November 16–20, 2026 finds him guilty of at least one sexual-assault offence arising from the filming of Les Volets verts in 2021. This is the appeal of the May 2025 first-instance judgment concerning two women who worked on that production. It is not the separate Charlotte Arnould proceeding.

The appellate judgment must itself maintain or impose a con

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 68%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 32%.