Will China’s October inflation be 0.7%–0.8% in the November 9 release?

Question

This market will resolve YES if China’s National Bureau of Statistics reports national all-items consumer-price inflation for October 2026 at either 0.7% or 0.8% year on year in its first official release for that reference month. The interval is inclusive: 0.7% and 0.8% both qualify. A reported 0.6%, 0.9% or any other value resolves NO.

Use the headline national Consumer Price Index change from October 2025 to October 2026. Do not substitute month-on-month inflation, core inflation excluding f

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 59%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 41%.