Will Steve Scalise defeat Jim Jordan in the November 10 House Republican leadership election?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Steve Scalise is formally elected as the House Republican Conference’s party leader for the 120th Congress through the leadership election scheduled for November 10, 2026. Jim Jordan identifies the announced rival, but this is a market on Scalise winning the leadership office rather than on the final ballot containing exactly two candidates.

Only the top House Republican leader counts. Election as whip, conference chair, committee chair or Speaker does not indepe

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 57%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 43%.