Will the Republican Party retain control of the U.S. Senate after the 2026 elections?

Question

This market resolves YES if the Republican Party controls the United States Senate when the 120th Congress convenes following the 2026 elections.

Republican control includes either at least 51 senators who are Republicans or caucus with Republicans, or 50 such senators where the sitting vice president provides the Republican side with the constitutional tie-breaking vote.

This market resolves NO if Democrats and senators caucusing with them obtain control under the same standard, or if another

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 69%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 31%.