Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates by exactly 25 basis points in September 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee raises the target range for the federal funds rate by exactly 25 basis points at its September 2026 monetary-policy meeting, relative to the target range in effect immediately before that decision.

A rate increase of any other magnitude, no change, or any rate cut will resolve this market NO. The market will be resolved using the official Federal Reserve monetary-policy statement announcing the September decision.

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 65%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 35%.