Will Pope Francis’s private diary enter the US hardcover nonfiction Top 5 after November 24?

Question

This market will resolve YES if The Private Diary of Pope Francis ranks at number five or higher on The New York Times Hardcover Nonfiction bestseller list corresponding to the first United States sales week that includes its announced November 24, 2026 publication date. The underlying sales week, not the future Sunday date printed at the top of a list, identifies the qualifying chart. It is a debut-week test, not a chance to qualify on any later chart.

The covered book is the English-language

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 38%.