Will Meta be ordered to pay a civil penalty for violating Australia's under-16 social-media restrictions before January 1, 2027?

Question

This market resolves YES if, before January 1, 2027, an Australian court formally orders Meta Platforms or a qualifying Meta-controlled entity operating Facebook, Instagram or Threads to pay a civil penalty for failing to comply with Australia's social-media minimum-age requirements applicable to users under 16.

The penalty must relate specifically to Meta's obligations to take reasonable steps to prevent Australians under 16 from holding accounts on age-restricted social-media platforms.

The

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 65%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 35%.