Will SpaceX launch at least 50 Falcon missions in Q1 2027?

Question

This market will resolve YES if SpaceX completes at least 50 eligible orbital launch attempts during January 1 through March 31,2027, with liftoff timestamps measured in UTC.

Only Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy launches count. Starship, Super Heavy tests and missions operated by another company are excluded. A Falcon Heavy is one launch, not three because of its boosters. Count one launch per rocket that actually lifts off on an intended orbital mission, regardless of the number of satellites. A fai

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 51%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 49%.