Will Ofgem put the January–March 2027 energy price cap at £2,000 or more on November 25?

Question

This market resolves YES if Ofgem announces an annualised typical-household dual-fuel Direct Debit price-cap figure of at least £2,000 for January 1–March 31, 2027 in its November 25, 2026 determination. Use the headline Great Britain average under Ofgem’s typical domestic consumption assumptions and the tax treatment applicable to that cap. Exactly £2,000 qualifies. This is not a maximum on every household’s actual bill: usage still matters. Do not substitute a prepayment tariff, a regional fig

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 72%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 28%.