Will Macron fall below 20% satisfaction in the October IFOP–L’Opinion barometer?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Emmanuel Macron’s combined satisfied share is strictly below 20% in the IFOP–L’Opinion presidential popularity barometer explicitly designated October 2026.

Add the published very-satisfied and fairly-satisfied responses for the full national adult sample, or use the publisher’s combined satisfaction figure. Do not use net approval, dissatisfied respondents, party supporters or a different IFOP client’s survey. A displayed 20% resolves NO; do not infer hidden dec

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 71%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 29%.