Will Jaafar Jackson receive a leading-actor Oscar nomination for Michael on January 21?

Question

This market resolves YES if Jaafar Jackson is included in Actor in a Leading Role for his performance in Michael in the January 21, 2027 nominations for the 99th Academy Awards. A supporting-actor nomination does not qualify, even if his studio changes its campaign strategy. A nomination for another performer in Michael, for the film itself or for Michael Jackson through archival material cannot substitute for Jaafar Jackson. This contract does not require him to win the Oscar. If he is eligible

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 76%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 24%.