Will Trump win substantive relief in the December appeal over gender-care funding restrictions?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the Fourth Circuit's first merits disposition in PFLAG, Inc. v. Donald Trump, appeal 25-1279, reverses or vacates at least one substantive prohibition in the appealed preliminary injunction on a ground permitting the federal government to enforce the corresponding executive-order funding restriction. The official calendar lists oral argument for 11 December 2026. The dispute concerns restrictions connected to gender ideology or gender-affirming care, not a referen

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 59%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 41%.