Will the Sweden Democrats win the second-most seats in Sweden's 2026 parliamentary election?

Question

This market resolves YES if the Sweden Democrats (Sverigedemokraterna, SD) receive the second-highest number of seats in Sweden's Riksdag following the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.

The relevant election is the election to the Riksdag held on September 13, 2026.

Resolution will be based on the final official allocation of the 349 Riksdag seats published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten).

For YES, exactly zero or one party may receive strictly more seats than the Sweden

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 69%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 31%.