Will Washington voters approve the ban on transgender girls in school girls’ sports?

Question

This market will resolve YES if Washington State’s official certified result declares Initiative Measure IL26-638 approved in the November 3,2026 general election. The initiative concerns eligibility for girls’ school athletic competitions and the associated healthcare-provider verification requirement. This contract asks whether that specific ballot measure passes, not whether a similar policy is adopted elsewhere or whether the policy is desirable.

The initiative’s official identification con

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 54%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 46%.