Will the ATSB publish preliminary reports on both new Sydney Airport investigations by October 21, 2026?

Question

This market will resolve YES if… the Australian Transport Safety Bureau publishes, on its official website by October 21, 2026 at 23:59:59 Sydney time, preliminary investigation reports covering both:

The August 16 taxiing conflict involving Virgin Australia and Qantas aircraft at Sydney Airport; and
The August 25 ground-movement conflict involving Jetstar and Bombardier aircraft at Sydney Airport.

Two separate preliminary reports qualify. A single consolidated report also qualifies if it subs

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 69%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 31%.