Will November’s TOP500 supercomputer ranking cross 3 exaflops?

Question

This market will resolve YES if at least one system in the official November 2026 TOP500 edition has a published HPL Rmax performance strictly greater than 3 exaflops per second. In tables expressed in teraflops per second, the threshold is strictly greater than 3,000,000 TFlop/s. Exactly 3 exaflops resolves NO. The system’s country and manufacturer do not matter.

Use measured double-precision High Performance Linpack Rmax, not theoretical Rpeak, HPL-AI, mixed-precision AI throughput, an instal

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 66%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 34%.