Will the September 2027 jury convict Cole Tomas Allen of attempting to assassinate Donald Trump?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the jury in the federal trial of Cole Tomas Allen scheduled to begin with jury selection on September 7, 2027 returns a guilty verdict on the charge of attempting to assassinate President Donald Trump arising from the April 25, 2026 White House Correspondents’ Association dinner attack. The controlling proceeding is United States v. Allen, District of Columbia, case 1:26-cr-00098-TNM. The charge, rather than the sentence imposed, determines the outcome.

A guilty

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 74%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 26%.