Will SNCF forecast half its TGV trains or fewer for France’s November 5 strike?

Question

This market will resolve YES if SNCF Voyageurs’ last official national TGV traffic forecast published before 00:00 on November 5, 2026, Europe/Paris time, states that no more than half of the normally scheduled TGV services will operate on November 5 during the announced strike. A forecast of one train in two, 50%, one train in three, or a lower operating proportion qualifies. The question concerns the operator’s forecast, not the number of trains subsequently observed running.

Use the nationwi

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 62%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 38%.