Will the EU’s November 4 roadmap target completing Ukraine’s accession talks by 2028?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the European Commission's Ukraine accession roadmap presented as part of its November 4, 2026 enlargement package explicitly sets a target of completing Ukraine's EU accession negotiations during 2028 or earlier.

The qualifying document must be the Commission's officially adopted or formally presented roadmap for Ukraine, or an official accompanying Commission communication that expressly states the roadmap's target. A target conditional on Ukraine fulfilling ref

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 53%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 47%.