Will Germany agree to sell any of its Commerzbank stake to UniCredit following the September 14 meeting?

Question

This market will resolve YES if… the German federal government, UniCredit, Commerzbank or another authorised party officially announces, by September 16, 2026 at 23:59 CEST, that Germany has reached an agreement to sell, transfer or tender any portion of its existing Commerzbank shareholding to UniCredit or to a wholly controlled UniCredit acquisition vehicle, as a result of or in direct connection with the September 14 meeting between German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil and UniCredit CEO And

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 76%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 24%.