Will smartwatch AI reach 90% diagnostic discrimination in the November 9 WATCH-LV results?

Question

This market will resolve YES if the WATCH-LV external-validation results report an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUROC) of at least 0.90 for detecting left-ventricular systolic dysfunction for EVERY smartwatch manufacturer included in the prespecified cross-manufacturer validation in the results presented for WATCH-LV at the American Heart Association Scientific Sessions 2026. The official programme schedules the relevant presentation on November 9 in Chicago. This is a

Problyx · Accepted Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 52%.

Problyx · Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 48%.