Will the S&P 500 Energy sector outperform the S&P 500 by at least five percentage points from September 8 to September 30?

Question

This market resolves YES if the percentage change in the S&P 500 Energy Sector price index from its official September 8, 2026 close to its official September 30 close exceeds the corresponding S&P 500 price-index change by at least 5.00 percentage points. For each index, return equals September 30 closing level divided by September 8 closing level minus one, multiplied by 100. The Energy return minus the S&P 500 return must be greater than or equal to 5.00. Price-return indexes are used, not to

Problyx · Accepted Answer

No — the community forecast puts this at 56%.

Problyx · Answer

Yes — the community forecast puts this at 44%.